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« Taoism in the Service of the State | Main | Controlling Birth »

April 29, 2007

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Kevin

Excellent post!

Chris

Well said. I really must keep this in mind when I get tempted to predict the future.

China Law Blog

Guess I must be a Daoist as I am always loathe to predict the future and always skeptical of those who claim the ability to do so. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance, and yet future performance must always be based nearly entirely on past performance.

Great post.

Lao Lu

"The protests that happen now, though numerous, are smaller and aimed at securing specific goals for particular grievances; they do not articulate system-changing demands." I guess you're right to a certain extent on that one, but let's not forget that in that fateful spring almost twenty years ago, all started with a commemoration of the death of a Party Official, hard also to be tagged as a system-changing demand. Things start to change when there is one, or a small group, of leaders that start to spell out those grievances, investigate the roots, name them and officially formulate demands. A shouting crowd may be less of a danger than a petition landing on the desk of the central government. Crowds can be dispersed, documents can be classified but they seldom come in a single copy. So it's the intelligentsia (the lawyers defending, the journalists reporting the movements) that get arrested first. The power of the word, in my opinion, is feared more than the fist.

I do agree that most (if not all) of the protests are addressing very specific annoyances and grievances, but in how far, if lives are at stake, is a protest against the polluting presence of a factory poisoning the local water supplies also not a vote of rejection of the government, local and central, who allows these situations to happen ?

Other Lisa

Great post.

When I was in China in 1979, we used to refer to Hua as Mao's dumber, younger brother.

sepa

Great post, indeed.

I can't help but think of the great poet Cui Jian who captured and pre-captured this in his own poetic fashion: "It's Not That I Don't Understand, The World Changes Fast."

Riccardo

mamma mia! clear, sober, disenchanted and yet serene. I also loved "(...)popular purusit of private advancement." very much! A small post it: the '08 Olympics will be a milestone in Chinese modern history in my point of view: a sould-be-smooth culture clash will awaken mass' spirits of curisity and awareness of where things stand right now.

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