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« Military Yin Yang | Main | Confucian China? Not So Much »

January 16, 2008

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I made similar observations, though not in quite eloquent terms. Basically, the DPP couldn't transition themselves from an opposition party to one that had to be disciplined and run things, and not complaining all the time about those that are in power (since it is them).

That's a sort of too-broad reason, although in a certain sense it is true. It lost because it doesn't have an effective grass-roots organization. It doesn't carry out voter mobilization programs like the KMT. And the new gerrymandered districts magnified the KMT's 60% vote total into 80% of the seats. In fact, if it hadn't been for the redistricting, everyone would have said it was a typical LY election....

Also, I've read the opposite -- most of the radicals were driven out.

Michael


Michael,
Yes, Yao's point was just that: the radicals have been driven out. His solution, I think (we did not get to quite this level of specificity on political tactics), is to return to the radical roots. This is not what is happening, it seems. Hsieh if rushing to the center, even now offering to make Ma Prime Minister. All of which is consistent with the broader theory of de-radicalization.


Yes, Yao's point was just that: the radicals have been driven out. His solution, I think (we did not get to quite this level of specificity on political tactics), is to return to the radical roots. This is not what is happening, it seems. Hsieh if rushing to the center, even now offering to make Ma Prime Minister. All of which is consistent with the broader theory of de-radicalization.

Hmmm...I just put up an extremely long post that dealt with this issue. I don't think a return to radical politics is the answer, at least at the ballot box (street demonstrations, on the other hand, need to come back!). I compared the KMT to the LDP, and note that Taiwan's network centered politics, in which legislators bring home the bacon to the local electorate, nullifies the effect of ideology. In Japan that worked for the LDP; perhaps identity politics, which have no analogue in japan, might overcome that. But I am doubtful. People seem to care little for ideology at the local level. A shame, because the legislature is so much more powerful than the President.

I think the DPP is going to have to make massive investments in local party organization, volunteer networks, and so on, to mobilize those local voters. But first it is absolutely vital for Hsieh to win the election. However, I don't think that is going to happen anymore.

Sorry, perhaps I'm too pessimistic these days.

Michael

"His courage was palpable"-- the background of such admirable “courage” is that U.S. is pushing arms
(Billions of them) to the Taiwanese government, a government U.S. don't even recognize. Taiwan regime is just a puppet to be used to contain China's rise. The day will come that China will change it's export oriented economic structure and more focused on building upon internal consumption and development, then Mr. will know that China wouldn't be easily blackmailed and get serious with the Taiwanese secession business. Let's see whether Mr. will hold his “courage" then.

I've assumed (without much knowledge of the situation) that the Chinese government would like a permanent KMT government on Taiwan coupled with compliance on the KMT's part.

That said, my first visit to Taipei last year made a very favorable impression--great food, growing subway system, wonderful museums, a birdwatching park and, best of all, attractive school buildings and beautiful little neighborhood parks. The beautiful island seems a gem.

carpe diem. "Dao ke dao..." W.Pesek asks how (esp in market crises, with higher energy costs, etc.)
can the Tigers contribute to economic growth..etc.,
'Asia's Godfathers' suggests the Tigers need to
find some new industries soon...to continue stellar
economic growth rates...

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